Seats we can challenge in 2006
Now that we've secured a beachhead of sorts in our 2005 wins, we shpuld be thinking about what seats we can grab in 2006. We should be challenging every Republican we can, of course, but these seats,...
View ArticleAn outline of the Key Republicans to defeat in 2006
UPDATE PA Senate: D-Casey 54% R-Santorum 34% MO Senate: D-McCaskill 47% R-Talent 45% 2006 brings key races in the House, Senate, and Governorships. The Republicans will likely lose both the House...
View ArticleShays: War Dissenters are Ignorant, Should Shut Up
It's been a bad year for Chris Shays. Last November, the Connecticut congressman from the 4th district barely staved off his Democratic challenger, Diane Farrell, winning 52-48 in the first competitive...
View ArticleHouse 2006: Remember Marjorie Margolies-Mezvinsky
First, a little history: in 1993, President Clinton unveiled his agressive (actual) deficit reduction package and the Democratic leadership incorporated it into that year's budget. It GASP called for...
View ArticleThe 14 hottest House races of 2006
(From the diaries -- kos) So far, it seems to me there are 14 highly competitive House races shaping up in 2006:Colorado 7 - Bob Beauprez (R) running for Governor This seat was created in 2002 to be...
View ArticlePA-06 Murphy Files FEC Complaint Against Gerlach
Yesterday afternoon Pennsylvania 06 Candidate Lois Murphy filed a formal Complaint to the Federal Elections Commission against Congressman Jim Gerlach for repeated, flagrant violations of Federal...
View ArticleIN-8 Ellsworth Leading Hostettler (now, with Poll!!!)
Hey folks! Got some great news in my email this morning. Brad Ellsworth is leading John Hostettler. Now, I know its a long way out, but Indiana is really red, and Hostettler is right wing nut job...
View Article2006 House Race Updates--GOP Seats (plus updated ranking)
As part of an ongoing series, I have been keeping track of the playing field leading up to the 2006 Elections, and ranking the races in terms of likelihood of success. For ease, I have divided the...
View ArticleAttention DCCC: A Potential Goldmine of House Pickups In One State!!
I am a bit new to DKOS, but I am also a longtime political junkie. This puts me in pretty good company around here, where political junkies are in ample supply. I have been projecting elections since...
View ArticleStarting with the Districts: a model for House Targeting
"It's not often that I find myself taking the moderate position," says Joshua Grossman, SF Bay Area-based political demographer and founder of the congressional vote tracking website...
View ArticleNC-08: Why this year is different and Hayes is so vulnerable
This year, because of two structural components of the election calender, North Carolina will have an election unlike any it has held in twelve years. The first change is the natural cycle of...
View Article4th Hottest Race in the Nation: An interview with Alex Rodriguez for AZ's CD 8
Alex Rodriguez is a man on the move. It might well be that Alex has been preparing himself for the job he now seeks for nearly his whole life. (Alex says we have to draw our own conclusions on this...
View Article2006 House picture
CQ has been adding Republican seats to its "no clear favorite" list at a surprisingly fast clip. By CQ's count, there are now nine "no clear favorite" races, eight being seats held by Republicans....
View ArticleMay House Race Rankings
As many of you know, I am a House race watcher who has been periodically ranking the seats, both Dem and GOP in terms of likelihood of turnover to the other party. In this respect, there are...
View Article70 vulnerable Republican House seats in the 2006 Midterm Elections
UPDATE IS POSTED HERE
View ArticleAugust House Rankings (with poll)
This is my (very) belated July update for House races, which barely makes it in August. The big news since the last posting (http://www.dailykos.com/...) is the release of the second quarter...
View ArticleUPDATE - 51 HOT RACES that Democrats can win in November
*This is an update from September 9th with new notes. The findings are based on rankings from major web resources, polls, discussions with the grassroots, fundraising numbers, ethical issues of for...
View ArticleUpdated House Rankings by Pro Analysts
I have been keeping close track of the battle for the House. In addition to my own race ratings, I also have been doing a running composite of the non-partisan professional analysts' ratings. In that...
View ArticleSwing Districts
This is a diary that I've been working on on and off for a few weeks now. I was very relieved when I finally fiished it this afternoon. It is a look at all of the most closely divided, (by presidential...
View ArticleTop 50 Vulnerable GOP House Seats for 2008
I looked through Bowers’ Top 50 list and agree with much of it, but I thought he put too much emphasis as a whole on the "candidate quality" of the Republican incumbent, and too little on the makeup of...
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