MI-11: Trupiano for Congress
Tony Trupiano, host of the Tony Trupiano Show on the Michigan Talk Radio network, has announced he will run in the 2006 election against Thaddeus McCotter for the 11th District seat. He has suspended...
View ArticleSay Goodnight, Chrissie: Farrell Outraises Shays in CT-04
Cross-posted to My Left Nutmeg Chris Shays (R-04) might want to start cleaning out his office and packing up his bags. His district voted 52%-46% for John Kerry in 2004, one of the most Democratic...
View ArticleBLOOD IN THE WATER--Dems Look Good in New FEC Numbers
Good lord!! Todays edition of the FEC filings for the 3rd quarter of the election cycle shows a number of Democratic challengers that already have their campaign machines humming nicely. In fact, the...
View ArticleHouse Seats to Defend (Part III of IV) (TN, KY, and the Midwest)
I have been putting together a series of profiles of U.S. House of Representatives races to focus on in 2006. We currently hold 202 seats plus one independent who is a DIABN--a Dem in all but...
View ArticleYou are more than just a piggybank.
When I look at the interactions that some campaigns have with the blogosphere, it seems they are looking for one thing and one thing only. Money. Now don't get me wrong, money is important in...
View ArticleHouse Races to Defend, Part IV of IV (the Plains and the West)
I have been putting together a series of profiles of U.S. House of Representatives races to focus on in 2006. We currently hold 202 seats plus one independent who is a DIABN--a Dem in all but...
View ArticleHouse Races to Target--Challenger Profiles
I have been writing a series of profiles giving the landscape in the House elections next year. What I did was use the partisan makeups of districts along with incumbent strength to generate lists of...
View ArticleHouse Challenger Profiles, Races #11-20
I have been writing a series of profiles giving the landscape in the House elections next year. What I did was use the partisan makeups of districts along with incumbent strength to generate lists of...
View ArticlePotentially bad move by Republican candidate for Colorado CD7.
Appearently, the Republican frontrunning candidate for Congressional District 7, Rick O'Donnell, will have a fundraiser, where Dick Cheney made an appearance. Considering how much trouble Cheney MIGHT...
View ArticleIN-08: Heartless vote comes back to haunt Republican
The Indiana 8th CD is known as the "bloody eight", and it produces some of the tightest races every single cycle. It's been held by Republican John Hostettler for a few cycles now, but a new sheriff is...
View ArticleIN-08: Mr Hypocrisy strikes
I blogged earlier how Republican Rep. John Hostettler, whose district was decimated by a massive tornado a few days ago, was one of the few to vote against Katrina reconstruction aid. Well, I didn't...
View ArticleGeorgia's new House Districts and what they mean for 2006
From 2003 until the middle of this year, Georgia's Congressional Districts stood out as abstract artwork. That's a generous way to describe them. I might risk some scorn, but the districts were an...
View ArticleAny Info from kossacks on Michigan's 11th Dist?
I came across a PDA (Progressive Democrats of America) endorsement for a candidate running for congress in '06 for Michigan's 11th District. His name is Tony Trupiano. From the limited information I...
View ArticleAttention:CT 5th CD Dems
Now that the municipal elections are over, it's time to set our sites on taking back the 5th congressional district seat from the corporate hack Nancy Johnson. We have a great opportunity in 2006 and a...
View ArticleState of the 2006 House Races (GOP Seats)
With the Dems' strong showings across the board yesterday (wins in both Gov. races, 1-2 seat gains in both the VA and NJ assemblies, the VA Atty Gen. race heading for a recount, and the resounding...
View ArticleSeats we can challenge in 2006
Now that we've secured a beachhead of sorts in our 2005 wins, we shpuld be thinking about what seats we can grab in 2006. We should be challenging every Republican we can, of course, but these seats,...
View ArticleAn outline of the Key Republicans to defeat in 2006
UPDATE PA Senate: D-Casey 54% R-Santorum 34% MO Senate: D-McCaskill 47% R-Talent 45% 2006 brings key races in the House, Senate, and Governorships. The Republicans will likely lose both the House...
View ArticleShays: War Dissenters are Ignorant, Should Shut Up
It's been a bad year for Chris Shays. Last November, the Connecticut congressman from the 4th district barely staved off his Democratic challenger, Diane Farrell, winning 52-48 in the first competitive...
View ArticleHouse 2006: Remember Marjorie Margolies-Mezvinsky
First, a little history: in 1993, President Clinton unveiled his agressive (actual) deficit reduction package and the Democratic leadership incorporated it into that year's budget. It GASP called for...
View ArticleThe 14 hottest House races of 2006
(From the diaries -- kos) So far, it seems to me there are 14 highly competitive House races shaping up in 2006:Colorado 7 - Bob Beauprez (R) running for Governor This seat was created in 2002 to be...
View ArticlePA-06 Murphy Files FEC Complaint Against Gerlach
Yesterday afternoon Pennsylvania 06 Candidate Lois Murphy filed a formal Complaint to the Federal Elections Commission against Congressman Jim Gerlach for repeated, flagrant violations of Federal...
View ArticleIN-8 Ellsworth Leading Hostettler (now, with Poll!!!)
Hey folks! Got some great news in my email this morning. Brad Ellsworth is leading John Hostettler. Now, I know its a long way out, but Indiana is really red, and Hostettler is right wing nut job...
View Article2006 House Race Updates--GOP Seats (plus updated ranking)
As part of an ongoing series, I have been keeping track of the playing field leading up to the 2006 Elections, and ranking the races in terms of likelihood of success. For ease, I have divided the...
View ArticleAttention DCCC: A Potential Goldmine of House Pickups In One State!!
I am a bit new to DKOS, but I am also a longtime political junkie. This puts me in pretty good company around here, where political junkies are in ample supply. I have been projecting elections since...
View ArticleStarting with the Districts: a model for House Targeting
"It's not often that I find myself taking the moderate position," says Joshua Grossman, SF Bay Area-based political demographer and founder of the congressional vote tracking website...
View ArticleNC-08: Why this year is different and Hayes is so vulnerable
This year, because of two structural components of the election calender, North Carolina will have an election unlike any it has held in twelve years. The first change is the natural cycle of...
View Article4th Hottest Race in the Nation: An interview with Alex Rodriguez for AZ's CD 8
Alex Rodriguez is a man on the move. It might well be that Alex has been preparing himself for the job he now seeks for nearly his whole life. (Alex says we have to draw our own conclusions on this...
View Article2006 House picture
CQ has been adding Republican seats to its "no clear favorite" list at a surprisingly fast clip. By CQ's count, there are now nine "no clear favorite" races, eight being seats held by Republicans....
View ArticleMay House Race Rankings
As many of you know, I am a House race watcher who has been periodically ranking the seats, both Dem and GOP in terms of likelihood of turnover to the other party. In this respect, there are...
View Article70 vulnerable Republican House seats in the 2006 Midterm Elections
UPDATE IS POSTED HERE
View ArticleAugust House Rankings (with poll)
This is my (very) belated July update for House races, which barely makes it in August. The big news since the last posting (http://www.dailykos.com/...) is the release of the second quarter...
View ArticleUPDATE - 51 HOT RACES that Democrats can win in November
*This is an update from September 9th with new notes. The findings are based on rankings from major web resources, polls, discussions with the grassroots, fundraising numbers, ethical issues of for...
View ArticleUpdated House Rankings by Pro Analysts
I have been keeping close track of the battle for the House. In addition to my own race ratings, I also have been doing a running composite of the non-partisan professional analysts' ratings. In that...
View ArticleSwing Districts
This is a diary that I've been working on on and off for a few weeks now. I was very relieved when I finally fiished it this afternoon. It is a look at all of the most closely divided, (by presidential...
View ArticleTop 50 Vulnerable GOP House Seats for 2008
I looked through Bowers’ Top 50 list and agree with much of it, but I thought he put too much emphasis as a whole on the "candidate quality" of the Republican incumbent, and too little on the makeup of...
View ArticleSome DCCC top 2008 targets
The 2006 House battle was about New England, Pennsylvania, and Indiana -- all three places where Dems made huge gains. In 2008, it looks like the epicenter will be very attainable seats in New Jersey...
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Can red turn green? jon tester, max baucus, brian schweitzer on the emerging...
A frame from 'GREENSCREEN MONTANA'Jon Tester's victory in 2006 was a clear signal that the West is emerging as the space of a "new Democratic party." Meanwhile, that space is continuing to evolve. One...
View ArticleDead Even: The Nature of Modern Elections
Cross-posted here. This topic area has been touched upon at Daily Kos, both on the front-page and in some recent diaries, but I wanted to develop on it further. For all of Politico's faults, they do...
View ArticleProbing the NYT's 31 "Lean-Democratic" Districts
The New York Times recently unveiled an interactive, district-by-district tracker of 2010 U.S. House races. Overall, the Times deemed 172 seats to be "solid" Democratic ones, 36 "likely" Democratic...
View ArticleWhat Mainstream Media Missed At Allen West’s May 2011 Town Hall
At U.S. Rep. West’s 5/16/11 Town Hall, GOP congressman & Tea Party favorite is circled by security forces, but still gets confronted by small business owner from his district who takes issue with...
View ArticleI'm Sue Thorn and I'm running for Congress (WV-01)
I’m Sue Thorn. People throughout West Virginia’s 1st Congressional District have been asking me to run for Congress. Some are friends I’ve known for years, but most are people who have told me their...
View ArticleDamn the Meta: Full Speed Ahead to November!
So over the weekend I was one of the people most Metafied by some serious bad craziness around here. Well, ultimately my Rec List diary was probably the right thing, but with a bit of misidentification...
View ArticleSwing (District) Dancing on the Way to WI State Budget
Funny thing happened late last night on the way to the WI State Senate passing Scott Walker's disastrous, "crap," anything-but-funny state budget...The GOP holds a 19-14 advantage in the State Senate,...
View ArticleSwing Left launches District Funds to provide early fundraising support for...
From Ethan Todras-Whitehill, Co-Founder, Swing Left:Less than 90 days ago, one day before the inauguration of Donald J. Trump, a small group of friends and I started Swing Left with a singular goal: to...
View ArticleNew Swing District Poll: Run on 'anti-NRA/pro-gun reform' and boost your...
Oh, the waning fortunes of the ever-dwindling number of Americans obsessed with owning and carrying guns…A new House battleground poll from Global Strategy Group on behalf of Giffords PAC points to a...
View ArticleKey swing-district voters, college-educated and independents, desperately...
The voters most critical to the Democratic effort to retake control of the House show strong double-digit support for providing a check this fall on the raging lawlessness of Donald Trump, according to...
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Freshman Democratic Reps take a Stand
—Finally, the Noobies are recalling their Oath of Office.That it’s to the Constitution, and to the Rule of Law — and not to their brand news seats of Power, in the House of Representatives.Seven...
View ArticleImpeachment support grows in polls. How's it playing back home?
We can see how the arrow of public opinion is moving in favor of the impeachment—and even the removal—of Donald Trump. At the same time, there are doom-and-gloom stories warning Democrats, especially...
View ArticlePro-impeachment swing-district Democrats faring just fine with constituents...
Until Wednesday, New York Rep. Max Rose, a military veteran who unseated a Republican in 2018, had not come out in favor of impeachment. But during a town hall in his Staten Island district, Rose made...
View ArticleA Crime Too Far
I keep hearing about the great divisiveness in this country. I keep hearing that we have to find some common ground. I have searched my soul, looked into the eyes of Republicans, listened to their...
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